By Tony Nastas
July 21st 2024
President Volodymyr Zelensky's assertion that the war in Ukraine could wind down by the end of 2024 is driven by a combination of strategic military planning, international support, and an unwavering resolve to see justice served.
One major reason for Zelensky's confidence is the ongoing shift towards "positional warfare." This strategy emphasizes defensive operations while preparing for more significant offensives in the future. This pragmatic approach is designed to maintain the initiative, wear down Russian forces, and rebuild Ukrainian strength for a decisive campaign. This strategic pivot reflects lessons learned from the challenges faced during 2023 and aims to optimize Ukraine's defensive and offensive capabilities moving forward.
Moreover, Zelensky has been drawing up a comprehensive plan to end the war, which he intends to put forward in a matter of months. This plan includes mobilizing significant additional resources and troops, as well as securing substantial financial and military aid from international allies. For instance, he has mentioned the need to mobilize an additional 450,000 to 500,000 people and the substantial financial support required to sustain this mobilization.
Zelensky's Year-End Press Conference: https://www.kyivpost.com/post/25715
Washington Examiner: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/foreign-policy/3064652/zelensky-timeline-end-war-ukraine/
The president's optimistic timeline is also bolstered by continued international support. Recent agreements, such as the provision of additional Patriot air defense systems from the United States, are crucial for Ukraine's defense. Zelensky's diplomatic efforts have ensured ongoing aid from Western allies, which is vital for both military operations and the broader reconstruction efforts.
Zelensky's Year-End Press Conference: https://www.kyivpost.com/post/25715
Furthermore, Zelensky's firm stance against any form of compromise with Russia underlines his commitment to achieving a just and lasting peace. He has consistently emphasized that those responsible for starting the war must be held accountable and that Ukraine's territorial integrity must be fully restored.
Zelenskyy says Kyiv will end war on 'own terms' – DW – 06/12/2024
Zelensky's timeline also reflects a strategic understanding of the geopolitical landscape. He is acutely aware of the potential changes in international political dynamics, such as the upcoming US presidential elections, and their impact on the war. His proactive approach aims to secure as much support as possible while the current geopolitical conditions remain favorable .
Washington Examiner: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/foreign-policy/3064652/zelensky-timeline-end-war-ukraine/
In summary, Zelensky's projection that the war could wind down by the end of 2024 is grounded in his own strategy, bolstered by international support and driven by an unyielding commitment to justice and national sovereignty. This multifaceted approach reflects both a realistic assessment of the current situation and a hopeful vision for Ukraine's future.
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